Nintendo Switch 2 Supply Shortages Expected Until Spring 2024, Analysts Predict
Nintendo Switch 2: Analyzing Availability and Sales Projections
Recent insights from Japanese analysts indicate that the highly anticipated Nintendo Switch 2 will likely face limited availability in global retail markets until at least next spring. According to a report by Nikkei, Toyo Securities’ senior analyst, Hideki Yasuda, and UBS Securities analyst, Zhai Yijia, predict that the console may achieve sales of approximately 6 million units within its initial month post-launch, scheduled for June 6.
Sales Projections for Nintendo Switch 2
Despite the anticipated supply constraints, Yasuda forecasts that the Nintendo Switch 2 could achieve total sales of up to 20 million units by the conclusion of the current fiscal year in March 2026. In contrast, Yijia presents a slightly lower figure of 18 million units. Both estimations represent a significant increase over the performance of the original Switch, projecting an improvement of 20% to 30%.
Long-Term Sales Outlook
Yijia remains cautious in his long-term sales outlook for the new console. While initial sales figures are promising—exceeding those of the original Switch and Sony’s PlayStation 5—he emphasizes that these numbers do not solely indicate a surge in consumer demand. The launches of those consoles were hampered by semiconductor shortages that restricted production capabilities. Consequently, he argues that surpassing the original Switch’s cumulative sales could present a formidable challenge.
Conversely, Yasuda offers a more upbeat perspective, noting the overwhelming appeal surrounding the Nintendo Switch 2 compared to prior consoles. He suggests that a robust initial response is often indicative of sustained demand, implying that the new console’s momentum could be lengthy.
Market Predictions by DFC Intelligence
Market analysis firm DFC Intelligence has made optimistic projections for the Nintendo Switch 2, suggesting that it could potentially sell over 100 million units by 2029. This trajectory would position it well to eventually outshine the original Switch in overall sales.
Pricing Considerations from Nintendo
Amidst discussions about availability and sales, Nintendo’s President, Shuntaro Furukawa, has addressed pricing concerns. He acknowledged that they are actively assessing whether the pricing of the Nintendo Switch 2 could deter certain consumer segments, particularly younger individuals. As Furukawa stated:
We believe the pricing of Nintendo Switch 2 is appropriate for the gaming experience it offers, and what is most important is to provide entertaining experiences that demonstrate the value to consumers. To achieve this goal, we have incorporated various features into Nintendo Switch 2. It is true that Nintendo Switch 2 has a higher price point than our past gaming systems. We are creating various opportunities outside of our gaming systems for young children to engage with Nintendo characters and game worlds, with one of the ultimate goals being that they will eventually play on our gaming systems. We are closely monitoring to what degree the price of the system might become a barrier.
As the launch approaches, all eyes will be on the Nintendo Switch 2’s performance in the market and its broader implications for the gaming industry.
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